Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska is No. 13 of 138 in the model after week 6 (5-1, 2-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 8.9-3.1, with a 8% chance to win out and a 20% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #13in the model (▲3 from last week)
- 8.9-3.1projected final record
- +13.3points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 20%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Nebraska's best unit is its rush offense (No. 4 in FBS); its weakest is its run defense (No. 70). Overall, the offense ranks No. 17 and the defense No. 21, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 27, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Nebraska's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 13) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Nebraska would usually have won 5.2 games; it has won 5.
Postseason odds: 4% to win the Big Ten, 20% to make the 12-team playoff, 1% to earn a first-round bye and 1% to win the national title. >99% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 39.2points per game
- 15.2points allowed per game
- 47%offensive success rate
- 33%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Anthony Colandrea, 1,405 yards, 13 TD, 3 INT
- Rushing: Jamal Rule, 386 yards on 57 carries, 5 TD
- Receiving: Kwazi Gilmer, 32 catches, 418 yards, 6 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Ohio | W 49-21 | 99% win |
| 2 | vs Bowling Green | W 56-7 | 99% win |
| 3 | vs North Dakota | W 34-7 | 99% win |
| 4 | at Michigan State | W 31-13 | 100% win |
| 5 | vs Maryland | W 48-23 | >99% win |
| 6 | vs No. 6 Indiana | L 17-20 | 24% win |
| 7 | at No. 16 Oregon | 45% to win | |
| 9 | vs Washington | 86% to win | |
| 10 | at Illinois | 73% to win | |
| 11 | at Rutgers | 89% to win | |
| 12 | vs No. 5 Ohio State | 37% to win | |
| 13 | at Iowa | 58% to win |
Big Ten in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ohio State | 5-1 | 3-0 | 9.2-2.8 |
| 6 | Indiana | 6-0 | 3-0 | 10.6-1.4 |
| 10 | UCLA | 5-0 | 3-0 | 10.6-1.4 |
| 13 | Nebraska | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.9-3.1 |
| 16 | Oregon | 3-2 | 1-1 | 7.5-4.5 |
| 21 | Northwestern | 4-1 | 1-1 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 24 | USC | 6-1 | 3-1 | 8.2-3.8 |
| 28 | Wisconsin | 4-1 | 2-0 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 35 | Iowa | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 38 | Penn State | 3-3 | 0-3 | 7.0-5.0 |
| 41 | Michigan | 3-2 | 0-2 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 48 | Purdue | 3-3 | 2-1 | 5.7-6.3 |
| 62 | Illinois | 3-3 | 1-2 | 4.8-7.2 |
| 70 | Michigan State | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4.1-7.9 |
| 71 | Washington | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.6-7.4 |
| 76 | Maryland | 2-4 | 0-3 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 77 | Minnesota | 4-2 | 2-1 | 5.3-6.7 |
| 108 | Rutgers | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2.3-9.7 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.