Ohio Bobcats
Ohio is No. 89 of 138 in the model after week 6 (4-2, 2-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 8.1-3.9, with a 11% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #89in the model (▲9 from last week)
- 8.1-3.9projected final record
- −3.9points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Ohio's best unit is its rush offense (No. 60 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 102). Overall, the offense ranks No. 73 and the defense No. 89, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 60, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Ohio's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 89) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Ohio would usually have won 3.3 games; it has won 4.
Postseason odds: 26% to win the Mid-American, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 98% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 27.5points per game
- 24.7points allowed per game
- 48%offensive success rate
- 42%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Matt Vezza, 438 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT
- Rushing: Victor Rosa, 289 yards on 65 carries, 4 TD
- Receiving: Riley Neer, 27 catches, 396 yards, 5 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at No. 13 Nebraska | L 21-49 | 1% win |
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | W 29-27 | 31% win |
| 3 | at South Alabama | L 36-41 | 32% win |
| 4 | vs Stonehill | W 35-7 | 99% win |
| 5 | at Kent State | W 13-10 | 67% win |
| 6 | vs Central Michigan | W 31-14 | 96% win |
| 7 | at Sacramento State | 87% to win | |
| 8 | vs Eastern Michigan | 71% to win | |
| 10 | at Akron | 77% to win | |
| 11 | at Miami (OH) | 47% to win | |
| 12 | vs Ball State | 80% to win | |
| 13 | vs Toledo | 52% to win |
Mid-American in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | Western Michigan | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.3-3.7 |
| 75 | Toledo | 4-2 | 1-1 | 8.0-4.0 |
| 89 | Ohio | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 98 | Miami (OH) | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.5-5.5 |
| 99 | Massachusetts | 4-2 | 1-2 | 7.4-4.6 |
| 115 | Eastern Michigan | 4-3 | 3-0 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 119 | Central Michigan | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.1-5.9 |
| 122 | Buffalo | 3-3 | 1-1 | 6.0-6.0 |
| 125 | Bowling Green | 2-4 | 2-0 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 126 | Kent State | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4.8-7.2 |
| 131 | Ball State | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3.5-8.5 |
| 134 | Akron | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2.4-9.6 |
| 138 | Sacramento State | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2.1-9.9 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.