Wyoming Cowboys
Wyoming is No. 130 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 2-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 5.0-7.0, with a <1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #130in the model (▲2 from last week)
- 5.0-7.0projected final record
- −14.4points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Wyoming's best unit is its rush offense (No. 77 in FBS); its weakest is its pass offense (No. 135). Overall, the offense ranks No. 125 and the defense No. 106, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 112, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Wyoming's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 130) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Wyoming would usually have won 2.9 games; it has won 3.
Postseason odds: <1% to win the Mountain West, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 31% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 14.5points per game
- 20.5points allowed per game
- 44%offensive success rate
- 46%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Tyler Hughes, 822 yards, 3 TD, 7 INT
- Rushing: Samuel Harris, 326 yards on 65 carries, 2 TD
- Receiving: Jake Wilson, 19 catches, 197 yards, 1 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Colorado State | L 13-35 | 1% win |
| 2 | vs Northern Colorado | W 21-13 | 100% win |
| 3 | at Central Michigan | L 10-24 | 6% win |
| 4 | vs Hawai'i | W 27-10 | 99% win |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 0-28 | 1% win |
| 6 | at San José State | W 16-13 | 82% win |
| 7 | vs Northern Illinois | 70% to win | |
| 8 | vs Air Force | 29% to win | |
| 10 | at UNLV | 14% to win | |
| 11 | at UTEP | 50% to win | |
| 12 | vs New Mexico | 10% to win | |
| 13 | vs UConn | 24% to win |
Mountain West in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | New Mexico | 4-1 | 1-0 | 9.8-2.2 |
| 63 | North Dakota State | 5-1 | 2-1 | 9.4-2.6 |
| 64 | UNLV | 4-2 | 2-0 | 8.0-4.0 |
| 83 | Air Force | 4-1 | 2-1 | 7.9-4.1 |
| 111 | Nevada | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4.7-7.3 |
| 116 | San José State | 3-3 | 1-1 | 5.9-7.1 |
| 130 | Wyoming | 3-3 | 2-1 | 5.0-7.0 |
| 132 | Hawai'i | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3.4-8.6 |
| 133 | UTEP | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3.1-8.9 |
| 135 | Northern Illinois | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1.9-10.1 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.