College Football Power Rankings · FBS Independents

UConn Huskies

UConn is No. 69 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 0-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 6.5-5.5, with a 4% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.

Vegas disagrees: the model rates UConn about 7 points higher than the betting market does (Vegas rank: No. 109, model: No. 69). When the model and the line have been 6+ points apart, the line has been closer 62% of the time.

Updated · See UConn in the full rankings

2026 at a glance

  • #69in the model (▲5 from last week)
  • 6.5-5.5projected final record
  • −0.5points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
  • 0%chance to make the playoff

Scouting report: UConn's best unit is its rush offense (No. 36 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 96). Overall, the offense ranks No. 54 and the defense No. 84, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.

Résumé: No. 110, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against UConn's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 69) measures how good the team is.

Deserved wins: playing the way it has, UConn would usually have won 3 games; it has won 3.

Postseason odds: 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 78% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)

Rank by week: Wk 1: 63 → Wk 2: 101 → Wk 3: 63 → Wk 4: 65 → Wk 5: 74 → Wk 6: 69
Week 1: No. 63Week 2: No. 101Week 3: No. 63Week 4: No. 65Week 5: No. 74Week 6: No. 69

Rankings for weeks 1-6 were rebuilt after launch from games through each week; later weeks are published live.

Season stats

  • 35.7points per game
  • 25.2points allowed per game
  • 44%offensive success rate
  • 44%success rate allowed

Success rate: share of plays that keep an offense on schedule (half the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth). Garbage time excluded.

Leaders

  • Passing: Kalieb Osborne, 1,421 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing: Cyncir Bowers, 433 yards on 65 carries, 6 TD
  • Receiving: Shamar Porter, 11 catches, 235 yards, 2 TD

Schedule and win odds

WeekOpponentResult or win chancePlayed like
1vs LafayetteW 56-799% win
2vs MarylandL 14-383% win
3at Southern MissW 48-20100% win
4at Miami (OH)L 21-247% win
5vs SyracuseL 41-423% win
6at TempleW 34-2085% win
8vs Massachusetts69% to win
9at Air Force50% to win
10vs North Carolina43% to win
11vs No. 25 James Madison33% to win
12vs Old Dominion77% to win
13at Wyoming76% to win

Win chances come from the model's current ratings, including home field. Played like: how often a team wins a game it played the way it played this one, based on the box score. Rankings shown are the model's.

FBS Independents in the model

#TeamRecordConf.Projected
2Notre Dame6-00-011.2-0.8
69UConn3-30-06.5-5.5

This week's picks and rankings

Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.

How the model works: each team starts from a preseason rating (last season, returning production, roster talent), and every game moves it using the final margin and play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponents. Projections simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. More on the method. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.