Colorado State Rams
Colorado State is No. 104 of 138 in the model after week 6 (2-3, 0-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 3.9-7.1, with a 1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #104in the model (▲9 from last week)
- 3.9-7.1projected final record
- −7.7points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Colorado State's best unit is its rush offense (No. 27 in FBS); its weakest is its run defense (No. 136). Overall, the offense ranks No. 26 and the defense No. 135, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 95, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Colorado State's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 104) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Colorado State would usually have won 2.3 games; it has won 2.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the Pac-12, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 7% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 35.7points per game
- 43.2points allowed per game
- 46%offensive success rate
- 55%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Ksaan Farrar, 936 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing: Jayden Brown, 431 yards on 47 carries, 3 TD
- Receiving: Reginald Vick Jr, 24 catches, 367 yards, 4 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wyoming | W 35-13 | 99% win |
| 2 | vs Southern Utah | W 58-24 | 99% win |
| 3 | vs No. 14 BYU | L 23-41 | 0% win |
| 4 | at UTSA | L 45-59 | 10% win |
| 5 | vs Oregon State | L 26-56 | 22% win |
| 7 | at Texas State | L 27-66 | 0% win |
| 8 | vs San Diego State | 55% to win | |
| 9 | at Utah State | 47% to win | |
| 10 | vs No. 23 Boise State | 17% to win | |
| 11 | at Washington State | 46% to win | |
| 12 | at Fresno State | 22% to win |
Pac-12 in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Boise State | 5-1 | 2-0 | 9.0-2.0 |
| 34 | Oregon State | 4-2 | 2-0 | 7.5-3.5 |
| 57 | Fresno State | 4-2 | 1-1 | 7.1-3.9 |
| 66 | Texas State | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5.5-5.5 |
| 101 | San Diego State | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4.1-6.9 |
| 104 | Colorado State | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3.9-7.1 |
| 109 | Washington State | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2.5-8.5 |
| 113 | Utah State | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3.5-7.5 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.