Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia is No. 3 of 138 in the model after week 6 (6-0, 4-0 in conference play). Its projected final record is 10.9-1.1, with a 31% chance to win out and a 95% chance to make the playoff. The AP poll has Georgia at No. 1.
2026 at a glance
- #3in the model (▲1 from last week)
- 10.9-1.1projected final record
- +22.4points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 95%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Georgia's best unit is its pass offense (No. 8 in FBS); its weakest is its pass defense (No. 35). Overall, the offense ranks No. 5 and the defense No. 20, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 2, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Georgia's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 3) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Georgia would usually have won 5.3 games; it has won 6.
Postseason odds: 39% to win the SEC, 95% to make the 12-team playoff, 56% to earn a first-round bye and 13% to win the national title. 100% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 46.2points per game
- 14points allowed per game
- 53%offensive success rate
- 34%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Gunner Stockton, 1,298 yards, 14 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing: Dwight Phillips Jr., 280 yards on 37 carries, 1 TD
- Receiving: Craig Dandridge, 13 catches, 222 yards, 1 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Tennessee State | W 63-3 | 99% win |
| 2 | vs Western Kentucky | W 70-20 | 95% win |
| 3 | at Arkansas | W 45-17 | 100% win |
| 4 | vs Oklahoma | W 41-13 | 74% win |
| 5 | vs Vanderbilt | W 38-14 | 97% win |
| 6 | at No. 1 Alabama | W 20-17 | 66% win |
| 7 | vs Auburn | 89% to win | |
| 9 | vs Florida | 83% to win | |
| 10 | at No. 18 Ole Miss | 71% to win | |
| 11 | vs No. 12 Missouri | 74% to win | |
| 12 | at South Carolina | 77% to win | |
| 13 | vs Georgia Tech | 96% to win |
SEC in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 5-1 | 3-1 | 10.2-1.8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6-0 | 4-0 | 10.9-1.1 |
| 7 | Texas | 4-1 | 1-1 | 8.7-3.3 |
| 8 | LSU | 4-2 | 1-2 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 12 | Missouri | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.5-3.5 |
| 17 | Tennessee | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | 4-1 | 2-1 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | 4-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 26 | Oklahoma | 3-2 | 1-1 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 27 | Kentucky | 5-1 | 3-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.7-6.3 |
| 33 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.9-6.1 |
| 37 | Florida | 4-2 | 2-2 | 6.6-5.4 |
| 42 | Auburn | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5.8-6.2 |
| 82 | Vanderbilt | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 88 | Arkansas | 2-4 | 0-3 | 3.3-8.7 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.