Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt is No. 82 of 138 in the model after week 6 (3-3, 0-3 in conference play). Its projected final record is 4.4-7.6, with a 0% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #82in the model (▼30 from last week)
- 4.4-7.6projected final record
- −2.9points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Vanderbilt's best unit is its rush offense (No. 53 in FBS); its weakest is its pass offense (No. 104). Overall, the offense ranks No. 88 and the defense No. 64, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 71, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Vanderbilt's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 82) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Vanderbilt would usually have won 3.3 games; it has won 3.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the SEC, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 14% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 24points per game
- 29.5points allowed per game
- 40%offensive success rate
- 43%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Jared Curtis, 968 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT
- Rushing: Sedrick Alexander, 213 yards on 51 carries, 4 TD
- Receiving: Junior Sherrill, 33 catches, 529 yards, 3 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Austin Peay | W 28-9 | 97% win |
| 2 | vs Delaware | W 35-26 | 96% win |
| 3 | vs NC State | W 35-31 | 98% win |
| 4 | at Auburn | L 15-21 | 34% win |
| 5 | at No. 3 Georgia | L 14-38 | 3% win |
| 6 | vs No. 18 Ole Miss | L 17-52 | <1% win |
| 7 | vs Arkansas | 59% to win | |
| 8 | at Kentucky | 18% to win | |
| 10 | at No. 19 Mississippi State | 16% to win | |
| 11 | vs No. 1 Alabama | 5% to win | |
| 12 | at Florida | 21% to win | |
| 13 | vs No. 17 Tennessee | 22% to win |
SEC in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 5-1 | 3-1 | 10.2-1.8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6-0 | 4-0 | 10.9-1.1 |
| 7 | Texas | 4-1 | 1-1 | 8.7-3.3 |
| 8 | LSU | 4-2 | 1-2 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 12 | Missouri | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.5-3.5 |
| 17 | Tennessee | 5-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 18 | Ole Miss | 4-1 | 2-1 | 7.8-4.2 |
| 19 | Mississippi State | 4-1 | 2-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 26 | Oklahoma | 3-2 | 1-1 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 27 | Kentucky | 5-1 | 3-1 | 8.1-3.9 |
| 31 | Texas A&M | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.7-6.3 |
| 33 | South Carolina | 3-3 | 1-3 | 5.9-6.1 |
| 37 | Florida | 4-2 | 2-2 | 6.6-5.4 |
| 42 | Auburn | 3-2 | 1-2 | 5.8-6.2 |
| 82 | Vanderbilt | 3-3 | 0-3 | 4.4-7.6 |
| 88 | Arkansas | 2-4 | 0-3 | 3.3-8.7 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.