College Football Power Rankings · Mid-American

Massachusetts Minutemen

Massachusetts is No. 99 of 138 in the model after week 6 (4-2, 1-2 in conference play). Its projected final record is 7.4-4.6, with a 4% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.

Vegas disagrees: the model rates Massachusetts about 7 points higher than the betting market does (Vegas rank: No. 127, model: No. 99). When the model and the line have been 6+ points apart, the line has been closer 62% of the time.

Updated · See Massachusetts in the full rankings

2026 at a glance

  • #99in the model (– from last week)
  • 7.4-4.6projected final record
  • −5.7points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
  • 0%chance to make the playoff

Scouting report: Massachusetts's best unit is its pass offense (No. 44 in FBS); its weakest is its rush offense (No. 118). Overall, the offense ranks No. 98 and the defense No. 56, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.

Résumé: No. 93, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Massachusetts's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 99) measures how good the team is.

Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Massachusetts would usually have won 4.2 games; it has won 4.

Postseason odds: 2% to win the Mid-American, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 95% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)

Rank by week: Wk 1: 77 → Wk 2: 62 → Wk 3: 86 → Wk 4: 71 → Wk 5: 99 → Wk 6: 99
Week 1: No. 77Week 2: No. 62Week 3: No. 86Week 4: No. 71Week 5: No. 99Week 6: No. 99

Rankings for weeks 1-6 were rebuilt after launch from games through each week; later weeks are published live.

Season stats

  • 29.7points per game
  • 18.2points allowed per game
  • 44%offensive success rate
  • 39%success rate allowed

Success rate: share of plays that keep an offense on schedule (half the yards needed on first down, 70% on second, all of it on third or fourth). Garbage time excluded.

Leaders

  • Passing: William Watson III, 820 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing: Curtis Kimmons IV, 297 yards on 51 carries, 4 TD
  • Receiving: Ty Harding, 28 catches, 327 yards, 2 TD

Schedule and win odds

WeekOpponentResult or win chancePlayed like
1at RutgersW 37-21>99% win
2vs Sacred HeartW 37-1099% win
3vs StonehillW 36-14100% win
4at Sacramento StateW 35-699% win
5vs Eastern MichiganL 14-3811% win
6vs Miami (OH)L 19-2015% win
7at Buffalo57% to win
8at UConn31% to win
10vs Ball State77% to win
11at Toledo35% to win
12vs Akron83% to win
13at Bowling Green59% to win

Win chances come from the model's current ratings, including home field. Played like: how often a team wins a game it played the way it played this one, based on the box score. Rankings shown are the model's.

Mid-American in the model

#TeamRecordConf.Projected
65Western Michigan4-22-08.3-3.7
75Toledo4-21-18.0-4.0
89Ohio4-22-08.1-3.9
98Miami (OH)3-31-16.5-5.5
99Massachusetts4-21-27.4-4.6
115Eastern Michigan4-33-06.0-6.0
119Central Michigan3-31-16.1-5.9
122Buffalo3-31-16.0-6.0
125Bowling Green2-42-04.4-7.6
126Kent State2-41-24.8-7.2
131Ball State1-50-23.5-8.5
134Akron1-50-22.4-9.6
138Sacramento State1-50-32.1-9.9

This week's picks and rankings

Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.

How the model works: each team starts from a preseason rating (last season, returning production, roster talent), and every game moves it using the final margin and play-by-play efficiency, adjusted for opponents. Projections simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times. More on the method. Data from CollegeFootballData.com.