Washington State Cougars
Washington State is No. 109 of 138 in the model after week 6 (1-5, 0-2 in conference play). Its projected final record is 2.5-8.5, with a <1% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #109in the model (▼8 from last week)
- 2.5-8.5projected final record
- −8.7points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Washington State's best unit is its run defense (No. 66 in FBS); its weakest is its pass offense (No. 133). Overall, the offense ranks No. 131 and the defense No. 74, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 133, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Washington State's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 109) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Washington State would usually have won 1.3 games; it has won 1.
Postseason odds: 0% to win the Pac-12, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. <1% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 18.5points per game
- 23.7points allowed per game
- 33%offensive success rate
- 41%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: Caden Pinnick, 952 yards, 3 TD, 5 INT
- Rushing: Kirby Vorhees, 251 yards on 48 carries, 2 TD
- Receiving: Darrius Clemons, 20 catches, 218 yards, 0 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Washington | L 10-24 | 2% win |
| 2 | at Kansas State | L 7-34 | <1% win |
| 3 | vs Duquesne | W 48-7 | 99% win |
| 4 | vs No. 20 Arizona | L 24-34 | <1% win |
| 5 | vs Fresno State | L 6-26 | 0% win |
| 6 | at Utah State | L 16-17 | 31% win |
| 7 | at Oregon State | 12% to win | |
| 8 | vs No. 23 Boise State | 16% to win | |
| 9 | at San Diego State | 39% to win | |
| 11 | vs Colorado State | 54% to win | |
| 12 | at Texas State | 24% to win |
Pac-12 in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Boise State | 5-1 | 2-0 | 9.0-2.0 |
| 34 | Oregon State | 4-2 | 2-0 | 7.5-3.5 |
| 57 | Fresno State | 4-2 | 1-1 | 7.1-3.9 |
| 66 | Texas State | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5.5-5.5 |
| 101 | San Diego State | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4.1-6.9 |
| 104 | Colorado State | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3.9-7.1 |
| 109 | Washington State | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2.5-8.5 |
| 113 | Utah State | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3.5-7.5 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.