Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Louisiana is No. 73 of 138 in the model after week 6 (4-2, 1-1 in conference play). Its projected final record is 7.9-4.1, with a 8% chance to win out and a 0% chance to make the playoff.
2026 at a glance
- #73in the model (▲3 from last week)
- 7.9-4.1projected final record
- −2.0points vs. an average FBS team, neutral field
- 0%chance to make the playoff
Scouting report: Louisiana's best unit is its run defense (No. 3 in FBS); its weakest is its pass offense (No. 78). Overall, the offense ranks No. 80 and the defense No. 28, adjusted for opponents. These ranks rest on 6 games, so expect them to move week to week.
Résumé: No. 69, by wins above what a typical top-25 team would expect against Louisiana's schedule. That measures what the record is worth; the power rank (No. 73) measures how good the team is.
Deserved wins: playing the way it has, Louisiana would usually have won 3.8 games; it has won 4.
Postseason odds: 4% to win the Sun Belt, 0% to make the 12-team playoff, 0% to earn a first-round bye and 0% to win the national title. 97% to reach 6 wins. (Model estimates; how the playoff odds work.)
Season stats
- 29.5points per game
- 21.5points allowed per game
- 42%offensive success rate
- 43%success rate allowed
Leaders
- Passing: D'Wayne' Winfield, 1,088 yards, 3 TD, 4 INT
- Rushing: D'Wayne' Winfield, 392 yards on 81 carries, 8 TD
- Receiving: Kedarius Wade, 9 catches, 213 yards, 1 TD
Schedule and win odds
| Week | Opponent | Result or win chance | Played like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lamar | W 38-7 | 99% win |
| 2 | at No. 24 USC | L 30-49 | 0% win |
| 3 | vs UAB | W 21-14 | 94% win |
| 4 | at Charlotte | W 34-7 | 100% win |
| 5 | vs Arkansas State | W 23-20 | 87% win |
| 6 | at Louisiana Tech | L 31-32 | 2% win |
| 7 | vs Troy | 63% to win | |
| 8 | at Southern Miss | 71% to win | |
| 10 | vs South Alabama | 64% to win | |
| 11 | at UL Monroe | 84% to win | |
| 12 | vs Coastal Carolina | 72% to win | |
| 13 | at Georgia State | 35% to win |
Sun Belt in the model
| # | Team | Record | Conf. | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | James Madison | 6-0 | 3-0 | 10.9-1.1 |
| 58 | Georgia State | 4-1 | 1-0 | 8.5-3.5 |
| 73 | Louisiana | 4-2 | 1-1 | 7.9-4.1 |
| 78 | Georgia Southern | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5.9-6.1 |
| 87 | Louisiana Tech | 3-2 | 1-0 | 7.3-4.7 |
| 94 | Troy | 3-2 | 1-0 | 6.4-5.6 |
| 97 | South Alabama | 4-2 | 2-0 | 7.4-4.6 |
| 103 | App State | 3-2 | 0-1 | 6.1-5.9 |
| 106 | Arkansas State | 2-4 | 0-2 | 5.0-7.0 |
| 107 | Coastal Carolina | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4.3-7.7 |
| 114 | Old Dominion | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4.3-7.7 |
| 128 | Southern Miss | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3.4-8.6 |
| 129 | Marshall | 3-3 | 0-2 | 5.1-6.9 |
| 136 | UL Monroe | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1.6-10.4 |
This week's picks and rankings
Every week's top 25, game of the week and picks are in the weekly breakdown. Latest: Week 7 college football picks and power rankings: the model's case for LSU.